Here are some projections for the upcoming fantasy football season. These projections were generated with a system looking at the following inputs:
Position
Point totals by week for the previous two seasons
Current position on the organization depth chart (as of July 22)
Age
As a guideline, if a projection seems off, and you reason it is due to factors not considered above (injuries, getting cut, etc), definitely use your gut. Otherwise, use your gut slightly less. For instance, the rookie running back class seems underestimated by this system, so I might try to add some additional signals. Although, the system does know that McCaffrey, Fournette, Dalvin Cook are listed at the top of the depth chart for their current teams, and that Dennis Pitta is not currently listed on any depth charts.
Click the names to view the distributions for each player. Auction values coming soon, and I will run results for several different scoring systems, probably dumping a bunch of them on rototheory.com.
These results are for a league I’m in, a PPR, 6points for QB touchdown, standard points for yards scoring system.
| Name | Mean Average Points |
|---|---|
Drew Brees |
242.7 |
Aaron Rodgers |
239.2 |
Matt Ryan |
236.6 |
Cam Newton |
230.6 |
Tom Brady |
224.4 |
Derek Carr |
221.9 |
Eli Manning |
221.4 |
Andrew Luck |
219.8 |
Russell Wilson |
219.5 |
Blake Bortles |
219.3 |
Matthew Stafford |
218.8 |
Philip Rivers |
218.2 |
Kirk Cousins |
218.1 |
Carson Palmer |
217.6 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
214.9 |
Marcus Mariota |
211.6 |
Antonio Brown |
211.5 |
Jameis Winston |
211.3 |
Tyrod Taylor |
208.4 |
Odell Beckham |
207.9 |
David Johnson |
207.7 |
Andy Dalton |
206.9 |
Joe Flacco |
203.6 |
Alex Smith |
203.4 |
Ryan Tannehill |
203.2 |
Julio Jones |
200.5 |
Sam Bradford |
200.2 |
Devonta Freeman |
199.9 |
Click Here for the full table
Ranking of players by mean projected scores for 2017 NFL Season.
Custom Fantasy Football Scoring System: PPR, 6points for QB TDs, -1pt for int/fumble
Updated July 25, 2017